After a chaotic Friday night where the Denver Nuggets lost in the closing seconds to the San Antonio Spurs and the Timberwolves and Oklahoma City Thunder both won, all three teams are tied atop the Western Conference with one game left in the regular season.
Who wins the West?
It will be determined Sunday. Denver plays at Memphis, which will miss the playoffs; Oklahoma City plays host to a Dallas team that has nothing to play for and will rest stars Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic; and the Wolves play host to a Phoenix team that remains in mathematical contention for the No. 6 seed, meaning the Suns could avoid the play-in tournament.
If all three teams win (or lose) on Sunday, the Thunder will finish first in the Western Conference based on having the best winning percentage in all games among the tied teams. The Thunder went 5-3 vs. the Nuggets and Wolves, while the Wolves went 4-4 vs. the Thunder and Nuggets, and the Nuggets went 3-5 vs. the Wolves and Thunder.
In that instance, the Wolves would be the No. 2 seed in the West and the Nuggets No. 3 based on their record in division games where the Wolves are 12-4 and the Nuggets are 10-6.
In a two-way tie, the Wolves win the head-to-head tiebreaker with the Thunder or Nuggets, while the Thunder win the head-to-head tiebreaker with the Nuggets.
So if the Wolves win and the Nuggets or Thunder lose, the Wolves finish first in the West.
If the Wolves lose and either the Thunder or Nuggets lose, the Wolves are second.
If the Wolves lose and the Thunder and Nuggets both win, the Wolves are third. In this scenario, the Wolves would know their playoff opponent right away — it would be either New Orleans or Phoenix, depending on Sunday’s results.