The U.S. Supreme Court has agreed to review an Oregon case concerning how cities treat homeless people sleeping outdoors — and may be poised to issue a decision with wide-reaching implications, according to Minnesota legal experts.
Up for consideration is a challenge to a 2018 Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals ruling — and a related 2022 court decision — that found it is "cruel and unusual" to arrest or ticket homeless people camping in public unless they have access to shelter. Those decisions have blocked West Coast cities in the Ninth Circuit from enforcing laws prohibiting unsanctioned camping.
Now, however, the court has agreed to hear a challenge from the city of Grants Pass, Ore., and other cities that want to be able to enforce camping restrictions. As the parties prepare their arguments for the court — which will take up the case later this year — advocacy groups and legal experts here and elsewhere are contemplating how the high court might rule, and how it will affect local discussions on encampments.
The odds of taking up a case
The Supreme Court gets about 8,000 requests a year, but chooses to review just 1% of them.
Once justices accept a case, they reverse the lower court decision about 80% of the time, said Prof. David Schultz, a University of Minnesota visiting professor of law. And when it comes to the Ninth Circuit, historically more liberal than the Supreme Court, the reversal rate is closer to 90%.
"Knowing what we know from a political science analysis of looking at what the Supreme Court does," Schultz said, "odds are that at least four justices [agreed to review the case] with the belief that they want to reverse and they think they have the votes to be able to reverse."
Some people would argue that the current Supreme Court, which overturned Roe v. Wade in 2022, takes cases in order to further the agenda of the conservative justices, said Michael Steenson, a constitutional law professor at Mitchell Hamline School of Law. But Steenson noted that the Supreme Court often takes up cases when there's confusion over the way lower courts are interpreting federal law on high-stakes issues.
The encampment cases raise interesting questions about the reach of the Eighth Amendment's prohibition on cruel and unusual punishment, he said. There is disagreement about whether "punishment" refers to criminal or civil penalties, and whether being homeless or addicted to drugs stems from a person's "status" — which the Supreme Court ruled in 1962 cannot be punished — or from "conduct," which several federal courts of appeal believe can be punished.