I'm a GMO skeptic.
I'm one of those people who believes the science of climate change, but not the science of GMO (genetically modified organism) food safety. According to the Pew Research Center and D.J. Tice ("It's empirical, Americans just don't trust science," Dec. 11), I should trust both.
I'm not a scientist. I don't have enough knowledge of food science or climate science to be able to analyze the claims in each field. So I have to use a form of shorthand to decide whether a scientific claim is likely to be true. Here's how the two stack up.
Is the science consistent? Climate science hasn't changed substantially in more than 50 years. Each new finding and study builds on previous findings. If anything, the biggest difference is that climate scientists underestimated the rate of change because they didn't account for the rapid growth of Chinese manufacturing and the climate changing gases that would come from that country.
The food and agriculture industries have a far less stellar record. The only thing consistent in food safety claims is the running joke that if you don't like the current status of your favorite food, hang on, it will change next week. Recent examples include milk, good for strong bones or a likely cause of early death; calcium supplements, essential to avoiding osteoporosis or stop taking it altogether. Eggs, a sure cause of high cholesterol or not a problem.
We've had the same problem with the safety of agricultural practices. In 1962, Rachel Carson published "Silent Spring" about the dangers of DDT. Since then a long list of pesticides has been declared safe, then unsafe. A very small sampling includes: aldicarb, a farm chemical that caused the worst known outbreak of pesticide poisoning in North America; neonicotinoids, hailed as absolutely safe for humans then suspect of being a prime source of bee die-offs; Roundup, the most widely used herbicide in the world now known to be deadly to human cells.
Is there a bias to the science? When climate scientists first raised the alarm, there was no constituency for their findings. The solar and wind industries were too small to fund additional research, and there was no profit in getting citizens to drive less. Grants came from neutral sources such as the National Science Foundation.
By contrast, university agricultural research and big business have a long history. Ag campuses and scientists claim to be neutral, but they're human and they know that a history of findings that don't support industry sponsors will result in fewer research dollars.