We are emergency and intensive-care doctors who have worked in three hothouses of the COVID-19 pandemic: northern Italy, New York City and Miami. Treating scores of critically ill patients, we all observed similar patterns: Many of the patients we saw in our emergency rooms had advanced cases of COVID-19 pneumonia when they arrived — and many of those critically ill patients came from nursing homes.
More often than not, these older pneumonia patients wound up on ventilators. This is almost always a bad outcome. In New York City, an astronomical 80% of patients who required a ventilator at the height of this pandemic died, according to city and state officials. (In our experience, the death rate among patients not requiring a ventilator has been relatively low.) Similarly, we see evidence that the incidence of blood clots and renal failure in patients on ventilators is significantly greater than in patients who were less sick and didn't need a ventilator.
This data does not mean that the machines themselves are killing people, just that by the time those patients are being hooked up to ventilators, they are already in dire condition.
How then do we identify patients with COVID-19 pneumonia earlier so that they can be treated before requiring a ventilator? As one of us, Dr. Levitan, noted in an earlier commentary ("What I learned during 10 days of treating COVID pneumonia," StarTribune.com, April 22), clinicians have a universally available, quick and remarkably effective tool to detect the attack on the lungs caused by COVID-19 pneumonia: pulse oximetry.
The pulse oximeter is a small device that attaches to the tip of a finger, and in 15 seconds measures oxygen saturation of the blood. Invented by Takuo Aoyagi and Michio Kishi in 1974, it is now considered one of the vital signs in medicine (along with pulse rate, respiratory rate, temperature and blood pressure). Mr. Aoyagi, who died on April 18, has had an incalculable impact on patient safety worldwide — and his contribution is especially significant in this pandemic.
In an analysis of more than 4,000 COVID-19 patients evaluated between March 1 and April 7 at NYU Langone Health facilities, one of the strongest predictors of critical illness — defined as involving ICU care or mechanical ventilation — was the patient's oxygen saturation on arrival at the hospital.
It is time, then, for the federal government, led by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, to mandate that all nursing homes and long-term-care facilities — tied to a third of the COVID-19 deaths — do pulse oximetry monitoring at least daily. In facilities with known coronavirus infections, we suggest this be checked twice a day.
COVID-19 pneumonia generally develops between five and 10 days after infection. It does not cause shortness of breath in most patients. Oxygen levels drop over days, and patients gradually increase their respiratory rate. The low oxygen saturation happens silently — silent hypoxia, we call it — and patients do not realize it. By the time patients feel shortness of breath or have evident trouble breathing and head to the hospital, they already have alarmingly low oxygen saturations.