Setting clear and measurable goals is a key to achievement. Businesses do it all the time to make sure they are staying ahead of the curve.
The Vikings, it would seem, are no different. While they haven’t literally screamed, “WE ARE DRAFTING A QUARTERBACK” from the top of a mountain, their actions have essentially done that.
They let an expensive known commodity (Kirk Cousins) leave in free agency. They already added a first-round pick to their 2024 draft haul. And their head coach -- himself a former quarterback -- has been closely watching all the quarterback prospects.
Being intentional is good. But it also might have a negative cost: If I can plainly see the Vikings intend to draft a quarterback, the other 31 teams in the NFL can, too. And because they Vikings don’t simply hold a pick in the draft that will let them choose any of the top quarterbacks available, their QB need might lead teams to make them overpay with draft compensation in any trade to move up.
This concern came to the forefront when looking at a recent mock draft by ESPN’s Field Yates. With the caveat that all mock drafts are fraught with peril and that this one seems out of line in terms of trade compensation compared to others, let’s dissect it:
Yates has the top three quarterbacks coming off the board with picks 1-3 -- Caleb Williams to Chicago, Jayden Daniels to Washington and Drake Maye to New England. Arizona takes Marvin Harrison Jr., and then the Vikings move up to No. 5 to take Michigan QB J.J. McCarthy.
That seems logical and in line with popular sentiment, especially if New England doesn’t budge off No. 3. But Yates has the Vikings giving up not only No. 11 and No. 23 this year but also their first-round pick next year to complete the swap.
That seems like way too much whether you consult draft pick value charts or other mocks. But let’s talk about the reality it represents.