Independent voters — those who show no fealty to either the Democratic or Republican parties — will likely decide the presidential election Nov. 5. In Minnesota, they’re a fascinating lot.
The results from the recent Star Tribune/MPR News/KARE 11 Minnesota Poll give some hint of what these iconoclastic voters are thinking this election season.
The poll found 43% of independent voters in Minnesota were likely to support the ticket of Republican former President Donald Trump and Sen. JD Vance, with 41% opting for Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris and her running mate, Gov. Tim Walz; 14% were undecided, and 2% favored third-party candidates. The poll of 800 Minnesota voters had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
These folks are pessimistic about the economy, with 46% labeling it as “poor.” And among the major issues percolating with the electorate here and in recent interviews, 81% characterized illegal immigration as a “very” or “somewhat” serious problem. Sixty-four percent said they feel democracy is being threatened.
We talked to six self-described independent voters who volunteered to be part of a Minnesota Star Tribune voter panel. A common theme? None was terribly enthused about either presidential candidate or their running mates.
Ken Vraa, 78, Maple Grove
Vraa is a retired municipal government employee who voted for Trump in 2016 due to his business experience “even though he had a terrible business record,” and for President Joe Biden four years later. “I was tired of Trump,” he said.
Vraa is interested in candidates continuing to support Ukraine as it fends off Russia, and focusing more on the Gaza conflict. While Harris has said she supports a two-state solution to resolve the Israeli–Palestinian conflict, “I’ve heard nothing from Trump.”
Unlike some voters, Vraa says the economy is “just swell. Inflation is a little high, but not staggering.” He says he was intrigued by Harris’ policy proposals for expanding the small business and the child tax credits.