For 29 consecutive winters on Lake Mille Lacs, Kevin McQuoid rented fish houses to customers of his lakeside resort near Isle, Minn. Only once during that span were the shacks still parked on dirt by New Year's Day.
McQuoid sold his business two years ago, but he's anticipating another holiday dud as Minnesota's ice fishing season remains mired in a slow start. Unseasonably warm temperatures as far north as Angle Inlet on Lake of the Woods have disrupted the "early ice" period that anglers cherish as the best time to catch fish through holes in the ice.
"The week between Christmas and New Year's was always our biggest week of the year, by far," McQuoid said. "I'm looking at the forecast and there's definitely going to be some disappointment."
Even with rain and 50-degree days in store for this weekend in the Twin Cities, the ice fishing season isn't an all-out bust. On the southern bays of Mille Lacs, for instance, ice fishing has been in good shape for more than a week.
But without exception from Lake Pepin in the southeast to Rainy Lake in International Falls, ice production is weeks behind schedule. Worse yet, there's no immediate hope for the type of deep freeze needed to make ice that's thick enough to support plows, long ice roads and the full spectrum of ice fishing equipment.
"A lot of people are forced to stick to ponds, bays and smaller lakes," said Andy Petterson, founder of Ice Fishing Minnesota, a Facebook group that recently surpassed 100,000 members.
He said preseason excitement has given way to widespread frustration. "On our pages you can definitely tell that people are tired of talking about ice fishing," Petterson said. "They just want to get out on the ice."
Petterson himself has fished on lakes this month that were strong enough to support foot traffic one day, only to have the surface fall apart a day or two later. High winds, in particular, have been wreaking havoc. On Upper Red Lake on Sunday night, for instance, emergency responders battled gusty conditions in the darkness to rescue 35 anglers from an ice sheet that broke away and drifted 200 feet into open water.