Business at J's Cleaners was up to as much as 40% of pre-pandemic levels last month, as a small portion of New Yorkers returned to the office.
The business has locations throughout Manhattan, and some locations were back to half of normal business, said owner Albert Lee.
But with new business restrictions and schools closing again, Lee expects to fall back down to the low sales he saw back in April. He is losing $1,000 to $2,000 monthly per store.
"If this thing keeps dragging, many small businesses will close. Maybe I could be one of them," said Lee, 63, who plans to permanently shutter four of his 15 locations.
Dry cleaners are hardly alone in struggling during the pandemic. But while airlines and restaurants eventually will rebound as vaccines ease worries for travelers and diners, dry cleaners confront a more fundamental shift: Working from home is here to stay, especially for white-collar employees. Companies from Facebook to Swiss bank UBS Group have said the switch could be permanent for some workers.
A post-pandemic economy in which more people work in their sweatpants instead of freshly pressed dress slacks could be devastating for the roughly 30,000 businesses that relied on professionals such as salespeople, real estate agents and bankers for half of the garments getting dry cleaned before the pandemic.
One in six dry cleaners have closed or gone bankrupt in the U.S. already, and many won't survive without more stimulus, according to the National Cleaners Association. Nationwide, the industry is likely booking only half the $7 billion in revenue it did pre-Covid-19, according to the NCA. More than 90% of owners aren't taking a paycheck, and about half are paying employees out of their savings.
"It's an ugly, ugly time," said Nora Nealis, executive director at the trade group, which has more than 2,000 members. "Most of them are holding on with their fingernails in hope of help."