Minnesota's college admissions officers, anticipating the U.S. Supreme Court ruling curtailing their ability to consider race, spent recent months quietly studying how their colleagues in other states had fared when faced with similar restrictions.
The lesson they learned: Their jobs are about to get tougher.
"I'll say it's regrettable that we are taking this step backward and being denied one of the ways we try to create diverse campuses," Carleton College President Alison Byerly said.
The ruling came at a time when Minnesota colleges are trying to recruit from a pool of students that is both shrinking and becoming more racially and ethnically diverse. By 2036, about 40% of Minnesota public high school graduates will be people of color, according to projections by the Midwestern Higher Education Compact, a nonprofit that works with colleges and universities.
Universities in states that had already banned affirmative action — such as California and Michigan — saw dramatic drops in the number of students of color and have struggled to recover.
"There isn't a good panacea, there isn't a good workaround," said Evan Caminker, a law professor and former dean of the University of Michigan's law school who has worked on affirmative action cases in the state.
Lessons from other states
Californians voted in 1996 to ban race-conscious admissions, and Michigan voters prohibited affirmative action a decade later in 2006. After the bans took effect, minority student enrollment immediately declined, particularly at more selective schools.