FOMO or Oh, no! Ah, the competing forces in a crazy market. How many of you are watching some of the name-brand stocks take off, have a fear of missing out (FOMO) and are wondering why you don't own enough of them?
How many of you are looking at the market and saying, "Oh, no" this can't last and trying to figure out what to do? I have some ideas for you.
In Adam Grant's latest book, "Think Again," he writes: "Great thinkers don't harbor doubts because they're impostors. They maintain doubts because they know we're all partly blind and they're committed to improving their sight."
The first thing to realize if you have FOMO or Oh, no is that you are right. The second thing to realize is that you are also wrong.
The future is uncertain, no matter the strength of your convictions. In other words, the more confident you are in knowing what is going to happen next, the more likely you are experiencing the Dunning-Kruger effect of thinking you are smarter than you really are.
No offense, but if you think you know what cannot be known, then you don't know squat.
But what about your buddy who got in and out of GameStop, made a killing by throwing all his money into Bitcoin, got out of the market last February and got back in late March, and now has given you a scoop on the next Apple stock?
Well, while he may be a brilliant investor (I have my doubts), the fact that he took home run swings and was successful doesn't prove that.