It takes at least three years to determine winners and losers from an NFL draft.
But, hey, who's got that kind of time?
So here are some knee-jerk declarations, in no particular order, on winners and losers from Round 1 Thursday night:
Winner: Eagles. They traded up from No. 24 to No. 13, got a top pass rusher -- Michigan defensive end Brandon Graham -- and didn't have to surrender their two second-round picks to do so. While trading Donovan McNabb to the Redskins this offseason wasn't a wise move, Graham will give the Eagles a fine young pass rusher to get after McNabb twice a year.
Loser: Another puzzling first-round pick by the Jaguars during the Jack Del Rio era (what's left of it). It's hard to give the Jags the benefit of the doubt in reaching for Cal defensive tackle Tyson Alualu at No. 10 when some of their first-round picks since 2003 have included the likes of Reggie Williams, Matt Jones and Derrick Harvey.
Winner: 49ers quarterback Alex Smith. The current bust as No. 1 overall pick from the 2005 draft got a resounding affirmation that he's still the QB in San Francisco. The 49ers traded up from No. 13 to No. 11 and took right tackle Anthony Davis of Rutgers. Then, at No. 17, they took the best guard, Idaho's Mike Iupati, passing on Notre Dame quarterback Jimmy Clausen for the second time in seven picks. Throw in veteran left tackle Joe Staley, and Smith now has three recent No. 1 picks protecting him.
Loser: Mel Kiper Jr. telling us the vertical jumps of offensive tackles.
Winner: San Diego moving up from No. 28 to No. 12 to fill their most glaring hole -- workhorse running back -- with Fresno State's Ryan Mathews. It took a bold move to replace future Hall of Famer LaDainian Tomlinson. The Chargers made one, and it was worth giving up their second-round pick (No. 40) to do so.