Sunrise on Tuesday, April 5th (@TNelsonWX/The Minnesota Star Tribune)
A Minnesota Spring Is An Acquired Taste
Rain mixes with wet snow and spills into Thursday. Tomorrow will look and feel like something out of late February. Friday looks like the better day with some sunshine, 40s and less wind. Not exactly springy... but better. I'm all-in on better weather. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
April 6, 2022 at 2:30AM
Windy With Rain, Snow & Chilly Temps
Here's the weather outlook from AM Wednesday to PM Sunday. The same storm system responsible for steady rains across the region on Tuesday will continue to swirl around the Midwest Wednesday and Thursday with more wind, rain, snow and chilly early April temps. We'll finally see some improvement late Friday & Saturday, but could see a few more light rain showers PM Sunday as a weak disturbance slides through the region.
Precipitation Outlook
According to NOAA's WPC, the precipitation outlook through Friday shows decent liquid tallies across the region. Total amounts could range from 0.50" to nearly 1.0" across the region with some of the heaviest across the northern part of the state, where heavier snow will be possible.
Snowfall Potential Through PM Wednesday
Here's the snowfall potential through 7pm Wednesday. Note the heaviest will be possible in northern part of the state and especially the Arrowhead, where winter weather headlines have been posted. A few spots along the North Shore of MN could see near 10" to 15" of snow through AM Friday.
2022 Official Ice Out Dates
Hey - Look at that! Thanks for recent milder weather and areas of rain, a few lakes in the southern part of the state have officially gone ice out! Look for more ice outs over the coming days and weeks. It won't be long now before the land of 10,000 unfrozen lakes returns!
Average Ice Out Dates
We're still several weeks away from ice out across parts of the state, but according to the MN DNR, here's a look at the average ice out dates for lakes across the state. Note that some lakes across the southern part of the state typically see ice out around the end of March. Lake Minnetonka typically doesn't see ice out until mid April. A few lakes in far northern & northeastern MN don't see ice out until late April or early May.
Status of Spring
"April 4, 2022 - Spring leaf out continues to progress across the country. Our spring leaf anomaly compares the arrival of spring leaf out this year to a long-term average of 1991-2020. After a slow start to spring across much of the Southeast, spring is progressing more rapidly, arriving days to weeks early across the southern part of the Midwest, the Southern Appalachians, the mid-Atlantic, and the Northeast. Albany, NY is a week early. In western states, spring leaf out is patchy, arriving a week late in some locations and over a month early in others. Parts of Montana and South Dakota are 2-3 weeks early. Spring bloom has also started to arrive in southern states, days to a week late in Texas and Florida and days to several weeks early in California. Spring bloom is over a week early in parts of Georgia, the Carolinas, and Virginia."
Wednesday Weather Outlook
The weather outlook for Minneapolis on Wednesday shows lingering rain showers throughout much of the day with breezy winds and chilly temps for early April standards.
Meteograms for Minneapolis
The hourly temps for Minneapolis on Wednesday shows temperature readings starting in the mid/upper 30s in the morning and will warm into the low/mid 40s through the afternoon. Rain showers will be possible much of the day, but could be steadier during the 2nd half of the day. WNW winds will also be quite strong with gusts approaching 30mph in the afternoon.
Weather Outlook on Wednesday
Temps around the region on Wednesday will be nearly -5F to -10F below average as the storm system swirls through the region. Scattered rain and snow showers will be possible for many as well with the best chance of snow accumulations to the north.
Extended Temperature Outlook For Minneapolis
The extended temperature outlook for Minneapolis through the rest of the week and into the weekend shows temps running well below average through Friday. However, we'll see reading warm into the 50s again by the weekend, which will be closer to average.
Extended Weather Outlook For Minneapolis
The extended weather outlook over the next 7 days shows active weather in place through Thursday with areas of rain and snow likely. It'll be windy through Friday, but weather conditions will improve into the weekend with drier skies and warmer temps. We can't rule out a late day isolated shower Sunday, but rain and snow chances return again into early next week.
Extended Temperature Outlook For Minneapolis
According to the ECMWF & GFS extended temperature outlook, temps will warm into the 40s and 50s over the next several days.. By mid month, we could warm into the 60s possibly near 70F.
8 to 14 Day Temperature Outlook
According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, the 8 to 14 day temperature outlook shows warmer than average temps lingering across parts of the eastern half of the nation. However, the western half of the nation will be cooler than average and especially through the Intermountain West.
8 to 14 Day Precipitation Outlook
According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, the 8-14 Day precipitation outlook shows more active weather will be in place along and east of the Mississippi River Valley. Drier weather returns to the Southern & Southwestern US.
A Minnesota Spring Is An Acquired Taste
By Paul Douglas
"These are the times that try men's souls" wrote Thomas Paine on December 23, 1776. He was frustrated with England and King George putting a thumb on the 13 colonies.
Or was Paine pontificating about fickle Minnesota springs? Not sure. Our winter occupation is winding down. Where are the 50s, lonely daffodil sights, breathless ice-out reports? I demand answers.
I too am disgusted by our stunted spring. I'd go on strike to protest these working conditions if I thought it would help. We like warm fronts too. We are only reluctant messengers.
Silver linings: over an inch of rain may put more water into area lakes, and help with soil moisture for farmers. Rain mixes with wet snow and spills into Thursday. Tomorrow will look and feel like something out of late February.
The Minnesota Twins has their own staff of on-site meteorologists. They don't need my advice. That said, Friday looks like the better day with some sunshine, 40s and less wind. Not exactly springy... but better. I'm all-in on better weather.
Extended Forecast
WEDNESDAY: Rain/snow mix. Winds: W 15-30. High: 39.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Breezy. Rain & snow likely. Winds: WNW 20-35. Low: 33.
THURSDAY: Windy with sprinkles/flurries. Foul. Winds: NW 15-30. High: 37.
FRIDAY: Slow clearing, better. Winds: NW 10-20. Wake-up: 30. High: 45.
SATURDAY: Sunny and spectacular. Winds: S 7-12. Wake-up: 25. High: 50.
SUNDAY: Clouds increase, seasonable. Winds: SE 7-12. Wake-up: 37. High: 55.
MONDAY: Unsettled with rain showers. Winds: SW 7-12. Wake-up: 40. High: 56.
TUESDAY: Showers and T-storms likely. Winds: E 10-15. Wake-up: 44. High: 57.
This Day in Weather History
April 6th
1991: The second of three consecutive record highs, all above 80 degrees, is set at MSP airport (86 on 4/6/1991).
1964: A snowstorm hits Minnesota with 9 inches at Fosston and 8.7 at Park Rapids.
Average High/Low for Minneapolis
April 6th
Average High: 53F (Record: 86F set in 1991)
Average Low: 33F (Record: 10F set in 1979)
Record Rainfall: 2.58" set in 2006
Record Snowfall: 6.0" set in 1928
Sunrise/Sunset Times for Minneapolis
April 6th
Sunrise: 6:43am
Sunset: 7:46pm
Hours of Daylight: ~13 hours & 3 minutes
Daylight GAINED since yesterday: ~ 3 minute & 5 seconds
Daylight GAINED since Winter Solstice (December 21st): ~ 4 Hour & 23 Minutes
Moon Phase for April 6th at Midnight
2.0 Days Before First Quarter Moon
National High Temps Wednesday
The weather outlook on Wednesday shows well above average temperatures in place across the Southern and Southwestern US. Note that highs will warm into the 90s across parts of California, where record highs will be possible through the end of the week. Strong to severe storms will continue to rumble across the Eastern US with areas of heavy rainfall. Meanwhile, folks in the Midwest and Plains will be below average on the backside of the large and stationary low pressure system that will keep winds quite strong across the Midwest and Plains.
National Weather Outlook
Weather conditions through midweek, shows active weather in place across the eastern half of the nation. Strong to severe storms will be possible in the Eastern US with heavy rainfall, but areas of rain and snow will be possible in the Midwest & Plains with very strong winds.
Extended Precipitation Outlook
According to NOAA's Weather Prediction Center, in the eastern half of the nation with some of the heaviest found in the Great Lakes and Eastern US. There will also be some decent precipitation in the Western US.
Extended Snowfall Outlook
Here's the ECMWF extended snowfall outlook through next week. Areas of heavy snow will be possible across the northern tier of the nation, especially along the International Border and in the High Plains and Rockies. Stay tuned...
Climate Stories
"Increased smoke pollution on the horizon for Pacific Northwest"
"In the western United States, summer 2018 was a bad time for wildfires. In all, according to the government of California, 7,948 separate fires saw 1,975,086 acres burnt to a crisp, 24,226 structures destroyed or damaged, and 100 confirmed deaths. In the following summers, things didn't improve. New research from a team assembled by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and various universities suggests that, if climate mitigation efforts don't go far enough, summer wildfires will only get worse. In a worst-case scenario, the research said that the problems caused by fires in the Pacific Northwest could result in a tripling of air pollution."
"What causes spring floods?"
"Spring is flood season for much of the U.S. From the Pacific Northwest to New England, melting snow combines with spring rains to raise water levels in rivers, lakes, and streams. Sometimes, a perfect storm of factors creates a major flood. Everything from soil to snowpack to overnight temperature plays a role in how significant a spring flood may be. Because so many different elements are involved, predicting flood risk in a given year can be difficult. As climate change influences many of those variables, prediction may get even more difficult. "If you are missing a certain ingredient, you go from just having some nuisance flooding to maybe a catastrophe. And so that makes it really challenging to know in the future where the risks lie." said Melissa Widhalm, the associate director at the Midwestern Regional Climate Center."
"60 Years after Silent Spring Warned Us, Birds—and Humanity—Are Still in Trouble"
"Rachel Carson's classic best seller about ecological threats, Silent Spring, started a wave of American environmentalism. It played a direct role in the 1972 decision by the newly formed U.S. Environmental Protection Agency to ban use of the pesticide DDT. Ernest Gruening, one of the first two U.S. senators from Alaska, said Carson's writings had "altered the course of history." It will be 60 years ago this June that the public was introduced to Carson's arguments, as her book chapters were serialized in the New Yorker magazine. The coming anniversary makes this a good time to consider whether the book achieved one of her major goals: protecting wildlife and, in particular, birds. Carson took a complex technical subject—the damaging effects of persistent pesticides—and expressed it in one simple, poetic image: a spring in which no birds sang. She asked us to imagine what it would be like to awaken in the morning to a world without these songs. She wrote with grace, and she made us feel the loss. But how well have we acted on Carson's warnings?"
Thanks for checking in and don't forget to follow me on Twitter @TNelsonWX
But the swamped cities of Windom, Owatonna, Faribault and Wells set precipitation records.