
After making a splash a couple of weeks ago by trading rental defensive end Yannick Ngakoue to Baltimore, there was genuine intrigue to see if the Vikings would jettison more big-name players before Tuesday's trade deadline.
Much of the discussion focused on likely suspects like Riley Reiff, Anthony Harris and Kyle Rudolph.
As it turned out, of course, nothing else happened. But in retrospect, I wanted to discuss one name that I didn't see brought up in a meaningful way: QB Kirk Cousins.
There are good reasons for that, of course, but there was also enough material for a thought exercise of sorts on how it wouldn't have been that bonkers — especially if some peripheral conditions had been different.
So as the headline suggests, here is a set of circumstances in a parallel universe that could have led to a Cousins deal on Tuesday:
*The Vikings didn't beat the Packers on Sunday. I know the Vikings publicly said that victory wouldn't influence how they approached the deadline, but there is a significant difference between being 2-5 (which they are) and 1-6 (which they would have been with a loss).
As of now, FiveThirtyEight gives the Vikings a 19% chance of making the playoffs (hold your sarcasm for the fate of their political forecasting). Football Outsiders is less bullish at 8%, but neither of those are negligible chances (as we all know).
That chance is aided, surely, by the addition of a seventh playoff team this year in each conference. And the chance would improve even more if the NFL ends up adding an 8th team — per Chris Mortensen's reporting — if games are lost to the coronavirus pandemic.