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How will Republicans meet their stated target of cutting $1.5 trillion from the federal budget over the next decade, now that the House and Senate agree on a general framework for the federal budget bill? Medicaid — or “Medical Assistance” in Minnesota, which provides popular, low-cost coverage to many lower-income citizens — will remain a likely target. It constitutes the lion’s share of funds controlled by the House committee tasked with finding $880 billion in cuts.
Some Republicans claim that they will merely cut “waste, fraud and abuse” in Medicaid. “The people won’t be affected,” and the program will be “more effective and better.”
Don’t believe it.
Since eligibility cuts are off the table, Republicans will look to more innocuous-seeming targets, like Medicaid provider taxes, increased eligibility redeterminations and work requirements.
Minnesota and every state except Alaska tax some health care providers and use the revenue to help finance the state’s share of Medicaid payments. Federal restrictions allow states to use provider taxes to expand their total Medicaid funding, but only within strict limits.
Eliminating provider taxes will diminish the need for federal funding by reducing the amount of money states have to spend on their Medicaid programs. This will force many states to make cuts. Doing so could reduce federal Medicaid spending by an estimated $612 billion over the next decade — nearly 10% of current federal Medicaid spending.