D-Day was a meteorological success, too

History shows that better data matters.

The Minnesota Star Tribune
June 5, 2024 at 11:32PM

The most consequential weather forecast in modern history? A case can be made for a prediction issued June 5, 1944, for the English Channel.

Meteorologist RAF Group Capt. James Stagg briefed Gen. Dwight Eisenhower, Supreme Allied Commander, on Operation Overlord. D-Day. Thanks to better data ship data upwind of the U.K., Stagg and his team saw a break in the storm, lower winds and no precipitation, increasing the odds of a successful allied landing at Normandy. A “window” of OK weather. Hitler’s meteorologists had inferior data and made an inferior forecast, assuming the allies would never attack during a big storm. They were wrong, and the Americans and Brits turned the tide of fascism on the European continent. Better data matters.

I’m enjoying early October, how about you? Winds gust to 40 mph Thursday, before easing a bit this weekend. Showers are possible Friday night and Monday night, but no significant rain for at least a week? After 3 years of drought I never thought I’d hear complaints of “too much rain.”

about the writer

about the writer

Paul Douglas

Columnist

Paul Douglas is a nationally-respected meteorologist, with 40 years of broadcast television and radio experience. He provides daily print and online weather services for the Star Tribune.

See More