Minnesota Poll results: U.S. Senate race, Smith approval and Supreme Court

• Poll analysis: Smith leads Lewis in U.S. Senate race
• Poll analysis: Majority want Senate to hold off on high court pick
• Previous poll results
• Methodology

If the 2020 U.S. Senate election were held today, would you vote for Tina Smith, the Democrat, or Jason Lewis, the Republican?

Tina
Smith Jason
Lewis Undecided 49% 41% 10% Tina
Smith Jason
Lewis Undecided TOTAL 49% 41% 10% Hennepin/ Ramsey 68% 22% 10% Rest of metro 41 47 12 Southern Minn. 44 46 10 Northern Minn. 35 57 8 Men 45 47 8 Women 53 35 12 DFL/ Democrat 83 9 8 Republican 15 78 7 Independent/ other 46 39 15 18-34 67 21 12 35-49 42 42 16 50-64 47 47 6 65+ 48 47 5 No college degree 42 48 10 College graduate 56 34 10 Biden voters 93 1 6 Trump voters 5 92 3 Do you approve or disapprove of Tina Smith's job performance as U.S. senator?

• Analysis: Majority want Senate to hold off on high court pick

Do you feel the U.S. Senate should or should not vote on the confirmation of President Trump's U.S. Supreme Court nominee before the November election?

Should Should not Not sure 39% 55% 6% Should Should not Not sure TOTAL 39% 55% 6% Hennepin/ Ramsey 21% 73% 6% Rest of metro 43 47 10 Southern Minn. 48 48 4 Northern Minn. 55 42 3 Men 46 49 5 Women 34 59 7 DFL/ Democrat 9 87 4 Republican 76 18 6 Independent/ other 37 54 9 18-34 21 69 10 35-49 40 53 7 50-64 46 50 4 65+ 44 51 5 No college degree 47 47 6 College graduate 31 62 7 Biden voters 1 95 4 Trump voters 89 8 3 Do you think Senate Republicans should immediately hold confirmation hearings and take a vote on President Obama's nominee or should they wait until after the election and let the next president select a nominee?

Vote now Wait Not sure 56% 34% 10% Vote now Wait Not sure Hennepin/ Ramsey 65% 27% 8% Rest of metro 53 36 11 Rest of state 51 38 11 Men 50 43 7 Women 61 27 12 DFL/ Democrat 85 9 6 Republican 31 60 9 Independent/ other 47 39 14 18-34 58 27 15 35-49 55 31 14 50-64 56 38 6 65+ 57 38 5 Star Tribune Minnesota Poll, April 25-27, 2016, 800 Minnesota registered voters About the poll

The findings of this Star Tribune/MPR News/KARE 11 Minnesota Poll are based on live interviews conducted Sept. 21 to Sept. 23 with 800 Minnesota voters who indicated they were "likely to vote" in the November general election. The poll was conducted for the Star Tribune, Minnesota Public Radio News and KARE 11 by Mason-Dixon Polling and Strategy Inc.The sample for this survey was drawn from a Mason-Dixon database that includes approximately 2.2 million registered Minnesota voters who are matched with a telephone number – either a land line, a cell phone or both. A random sample of 100,000 voters from unique households with unique phones was drawn from this database for use in calling on this poll.Those interviewed were randomly selected by computer from this phone-matched Minnesota voter registration file with quotas assigned to generally reflect the state's voter turnout distribution by county. For example, Hennepin County and Ramsey County combined accounted for 32.3% of the statewide vote in the 2016 presidential election, and accordingly 32.5% of the survey interviews were completed there. The interviews were conducted via land line (28%) and cellphone (72%).The margin of sampling error for this sample of 800 likely voters, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than ± 3.5 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if all voters were surveyed. The margin of error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or age grouping.The self-identified party affiliation of the respondents is 38% Democrats, 34% Republicans and 28% independents or other.Sampling error does not take into account other sources of variation inherent in public opinion surveys, such as nonresponse, question wording or context effects. In addition, news events may have affected opinions during the period the poll was taken.The demographic profile of this poll of likely voters is an accurate reflection of their respective voter populations. This determination is based on more than 100 statewide polls conducted by Mason-Dixon in Minnesota over the past 32 years – a period that spans eight presidential election cycles that began in 1988.Readers can e-mail questions to matt.delong@startribune.com.Demographic breakdown of this polling sample