Minnesota is a notable exception as a resurgence of high-profile mass shootings nationwide revives momentum for new gun laws in Washington, D.C., and in multiple states.
The impasse over new gun restrictions at the divided State Capitol continues even in the aftermath of the state's own deadly mass shooting at a health clinic in Buffalo, Minn., in February. Meanwhile, gun sales in the state are soaring to record highs.
Congress and several states are considering expanded background checks on all firearm transfers and new "red flag" laws to let judges remove guns from those deemed a threat. But in Minnesota, advocates on both sides of the debate already are setting their sights on the 2022 election, when all 201 state legislative seats are on the ballot.
The coming legislative redistricting also could bring changes. Population shifts are expected to result in more lawmakers from metro-area districts with voters more favorable to new gun restrictions.
"As long as legislators feel like they are being held hostage by the right wing of their political parties and that they can have someone run against them in a primary or in an endorsement battle over this issue, they are going to answer to those folks and not to the majority of their district," said state Sen. Ron Latz, a St. Louis Park Democrat who is again sponsoring background checks and "red flag" proposals at the state level.
Although gun enthusiasts are confident in the unlikelihood of new state-level restrictions this year, they are not holding out hope for their own top priority of "stand your ground" legislation that expands legal protections for using deadly force to defend one's self or property.
"We've seen in the past 10 years the parties get more entrenched in their ideologies; there are fewer pro-Second Amendment Democrats and there are fewer pro-gun control Republicans," said Rob Doar, policy director of the Minnesota Gun Owners Caucus. "So in that sense the stalemate has only harshened."
While weakened, the National Rifle Association still retains influence in Washington. But groups like Doar's are now routinely outspent in Minnesota. Political action committees for the Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund spent $576,614 in 2020, and Protect Minnesota added another $4,800. The Minnesota Gun Owners Political Action Committee spent just $8,618 through May 2020 — the most recent date for which data are available.