When all is said and done, the economic downturn caused by the COVID-19 pandemic may prove to be the federal government's greatest fiscal challenge of our lifetime.
Before the virus struck, unemployment was at an all-time low, wages were ticking upward, and economic growth remained strong after a decade of expansion. But instead of taking advantage of a decade of growth to get deficits and the debt under control, lawmakers bypassed spending caps, evaded pay-as-you-go rules, and enacted huge new spending initiatives and a massive tax cut package.
The wasted years and ill-advised actions led the Congressional Budget Office to project annual deficits at or above $1 trillion this year and into the future. And that was before the pandemic hit.
Today's health and economic crisis finds households and businesses in dire need, and just as in the 2008-09 "Great Recession," a federal response is required. Yet, with our national debt set to exceed levels not seen since just after World War II, we are not in a strong fiscal position.
The reason to maintain fiscal order during a strong economy is to make room for a robust fiscal response during times of crisis.
Looking back, it's easy to see how federal funds could have been better allocated to leave Congress with more flexibility to address this new national emergency. However, shoddy budgeting in years past, while frustrating, doesn't mean we can pull back and leave health care workers, households and businesses to fend for themselves.
The severity of the pandemic and the economic downturn meant we had to funnel federal aid into the economy in a fast but prudent manner. To its credit, Congress has largely done that, up to this point.
The biggest piece of legislation to combat the pandemic thus far, the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act, was assembled in a matter of weeks. It came with a staggering $1.7 trillion in borrowing, and some expenditures were not perfectly crafted. Nonetheless, most of the funds were appropriately targeted through direct aid to small businesses and in support of specific health care necessities.