Victor Wembanyama sweepstakes spurs another reminder of Timberwolves' lottery (mis)fortune

Having success in the NBA draft often comes down to not just being lucky in the lottery but what year fortune smiles on you. The Spurs have been abundantly fortunate, while the Wolves ... well, they have not.

May 18, 2023 at 4:57PM
Generational talent Victor Wembanyama is another reminder of the bad luck that the Timberwolves have had in the NBA draft lottery. (Thibault Camus, Associated Press/The Minnesota Star Tribune)

The Timberwolves went into the 2022-23 season knowing they would not have a 2023 first-round draft pick as a result of the Rudy Gobert trade.

And still the scars of drafts (and lotteries) past were evident as the year went on.

Wolves fans accustomed to far more misfortune than fortune in the draft — even with some correction in recent years — focused their anxiety on a mathematically unlikely proposition:

That Minnesota would miss the playoffs, turning what was owed to Utah into a lottery pick. And that the presumed slim, 1-2% chance the pick would turn into the No. 1 overall selection would naturally happen.

None of that transpired, of course. The Wolves slogged through an uneven season but managed to secure the No. 8 seed by winning their second play-in game against Oklahoma City. And even if they had fallen into the lottery, none of the longshot teams moved up this year when the drawing was held Tuesday.

But as I talked about on Thursday's Daily Delivery podcast, the Spurs' lottery victory still made me think about the Wolves and the context of what luck can do for a franchise.

The Spurs earned the No. 1 overall pick for the third time in their history. The other times, in 1987 and 1997, the consensus made their picks easy: David Robinson and Tim Duncan, respectively, were clear choices who laid the foundation for five NBA titles.

The only year the Spurs missed the playoffs between 1989 and 2019 and were eligible for the lottery was 1997, when Robinson was injured and they won the right to pick Duncan.

Being able to pick two Hall of Famers in your only two cracks at the No. 1 pick is extremely lucky — as is winning the lottery for a third time and now having a chance to take generational talent Victor Wembanyama, the most anticipated No. 1 choice, perhaps, since LeBron James in 2003.

Contrast that with the Timberwolves. I won't do a full recounting of the misery — I did it through 2019 here — but until they won the lottery in 2020 they had never moved up in 22 tries. They had moved down 12 times, famously losing out in 1992 on Shaquille O'Neal and in 2011 on Kyrie Irving among other occasions.

Both times they won the lottery, in 2015 and 2020, there was not a clear-cut No. 1. There was at least some debate between Karl-Anthony Towns and Jahlil Okafor in 2015 (the Wolves picked wisely) and between Anthony Edwards, James Wiseman and LaMelo Ball in 2020 (the Wolves, again, did well).

Towns is a very good player but he is unlikely to be a Hall of Famer. Edwards still has that potential but he has a few notches to climb to be on that path.

Just winning the No. 1 pick in the lottery is great. When you win the lottery is even better. The Spurs are a prime example of that.

Here are four other things to know today:

*Over The Cap shows the Vikings with a little less than $10 million in space after the finalization of the Za'Darius Smith trade and the signing of first round pick Jordan Addison. They can save roughly another $10 million if they end up cutting or trading Dalvin Cook after June 1, which would give them some late offseason flexibility.

*Minnesota United won a home MLS match for the first time all season Wednesday with a 1-0 result over Houston. Perhaps surprisingly, the Loons are No. 7 in the Western Conference and battling for a playoff spot even with that home drought.

*I rather enjoyed Nuggets coach Michael Malone bristling at the idea that the Lakers figured out some magic elixir near the end of a Game 1 loss by defending Nikola Jokic with Rui Hachimura and letting Anthony Davis protect the rim. Malone said, "Like we have never seen that before," and added:

"There's this kind of discussion being based [on that] even though the Lakers lost, they're walking out of here, they think they've got something. I'll bet you every red penny I have that Darvin Ham would rather be up 1-0 than down 0-1. So for us to be able to watch film after a win and show all the things that we did poorly is a great situation to be in."

*Minnesota native Brandon Williamson, a 2019 second round MLB draft pick who played in high school at Martin County West — about 140 miles southwest of the Twin Cities — debuted for the Reds on Tuesday. The 6-6 lefty threw 5.2 innings and allowed just two hits and one run in a 3-1 victory over Colorado.

about the writer

about the writer

Michael Rand

Columnist / Reporter

Michael Rand is the Minnesota Star Tribune's Digital Sports Senior Writer and host/creator of the Daily Delivery podcast. In 25 years covering Minnesota sports at the Minnesota Star Tribune, he has seen just about everything (except, of course, a Vikings Super Bowl).

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